PERU has a tradition of political outsiders who appear from nowhere to stage political shocks. The most notable example was Alberto Fujimori, a previously obscure university rector who won the presidency as an independent in 1990 even though opinion polls gave him less than 5% of the vote only a fortnight before the first round of voting. In 2006 Ollanta Humala, a populist former army officer with no previous political experience, came within five percentage points of winning.

Is history about to repeat itself?

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